Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 406.792936 462.919305 525.529824 600.832962 689.313612 790.424585 915.350984
2025-09-28 309.125567 378.346285 462.616243 573.816348 718.268319 901.744926 1155.942422
2025-10-05 273.427474 351.737929 453.020663 595.767285 795.272997 1069.575582 1484.848868
2025-10-12 250.654382 335.702967 451.276670 623.350427 879.275628 1256.243785 1873.953577
2025-10-19 226.159101 312.879938 435.548802 626.632102 926.036805 1393.780832 2215.163688
2025-10-26 201.396722 286.091679 409.906431 610.166592 938.060950 1476.833212 2482.028070
2025-11-02 182.354066 265.240776 390.054343 598.954050 955.132753 1568.639208 2781.180215
2025-11-09 172.644229 257.223681 388.497890 616.109108 1020.974964 1754.102006 3296.147185
2025-11-16 160.272992 243.665022 376.448629 613.726667 1051.511967 1879.746384 3721.334303
2025-11-23 148.467998 229.815865 362.342233 605.697327 1069.927604 1984.447829 4126.740629
2025-11-30 140.081617 220.740938 355.176471 608.887131 1109.544610 2137.680653 4680.919553
2025-12-07 130.134702 208.163093 340.737094 596.819369 1117.044275 2224.565124 5098.782047
2025-12-14 122.397311 198.911855 331.591231 594.324552 1145.034287 2364.433152 5701.582804
2025-12-21 111.936772 184.128965 311.287351 567.969282 1119.278557 2378.344541 5973.330911
2025-12-28 109.100206 182.586328 314.952179 589.637314 1200.894344 2661.749918 7105.535501
2026-01-04 107.120193 182.384195 321.024876 616.882870 1299.510248 3009.466742 8570.473808
2026-01-11 102.380719 176.697851 316.046735 620.124052 1342.477199 3222.729050 9686.940407
2026-01-18 95.856991 167.183911 302.779757 603.861097 1335.680631 3299.497664 10360.253331
2026-01-25 90.444367 159.413446 292.355469 592.785904 1340.269692 3409.907924 11206.584604
2026-02-01 88.314151 157.812247 294.225065 609.730627 1419.434190 3757.544907 13144.671909
2026-02-08 84.447069 152.530736 288.080352 607.377463 1447.263987 3955.873916 14566.211134
2026-02-15 80.352262 146.526231 279.953644 599.446635 1458.751214 4105.567912 15852.970370
2026-02-22 77.529864 142.892292 276.564213 602.597332 1501.856004 4370.904363 17837.179153